February’s general elections in Ecuador will choose President Rafael Correa’s successor. While the ruling Alianza País (AP) is highly likely to retain power under Lenín Moreno, it will probably not have such a dominant position in the national assembly, and the incoming president will be faced with tackling a weakened economy and persistent corruption allegations.

The Bahamas must hold general elections by May, and given the turmoil at the top of the opposition FNM, the incumbent PLP looks increasingly likely to hold onto power. Despite predictions of weak economic growth, unless the opposition can rally behind a leader the PLP ought to be able to ride out the storm, especially if it can coordinate the release of further good news about the development of the Baha Mar megaresort.

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