13-06-19 Latin American Weekly Report
Macri alliance guarantees Peronist electoral victory
At this stage in Brazil’s election cycle, President Dilma Rousseff’s approval rating is more significant than her standing in relation to other candidates - and it appears to be declining. A Datafolha poll published on 4 April showed Rousseff with 38% of voter intentions, down from 44% in February. Her likely rivals - Aécio Neves, on 16%, and Eduardo Campos, on 10% - appear a long way behind because they lack name recognition outside of their parties and states (42% said they had not heard of Campos, for example), but this will change on 6 July when the campaign officially begins and political ads are allowed. On 8 April those within the ruling Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) hoping the fall in support for Rousseff would result in a return of her popular predecessor Lula da Silva (2003- 2010), had their hopes dashed when he categorically ruled himself out of running this year.
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